It looks like the supporters of Cain in Iowa are leaving his train for someone who has demonstrated a firmer grasp on the issues:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers shows Gingrich with 32% followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 19%. Georgia businessman Herman Cain, who led in Iowa last month, drops to third with 13% of the vote. Texas Congressman Ron Paul draws 10% of the vote in Iowa, while Texas Governor Rick Perry and Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann each grab six percent (6%).

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum draws support from five percent (5%) of caucus-goers while former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman picks up two percent (2%). Only one percent (1%) would prefer some other candidate and six percent (6%) more are undecided.

Ed Morrissey points out that newt winning Iowa doesn’t really hurt Romney, since no one expects him to win there anyway. But what happens after Iowa? Romney wins New Hampshire. That’s pretty much a given. Then comes South Carolina, where Cain leads for now.

Then, the all important Florida. The latest poll in Florida has Cain up by six points. That poll was taken on November 8th. Who knows where it’s at now, but second place with Romney, followed by Newt.

This wouldn’t be up for grabs if Cain had just followed my advice, or listened to Jimmie.

What could’ve been.

Ace sums up my biggest issue with Cain, and why I’m now looking for someone to support:

It’s the “zero interest in policy” thing I zero in on. Cain is not an unintelligent man — former math whiz and CEO? He’s got brains.

Which is why I put this down to a character problem. If you’re running for president, and it requires, as it does, essentially cramming for One Big Test for a month, studying briefing books, etc., and you don’t do that, what can I say?

If you haven’t taken the candidacy seriously enough to do something you did 40 times before in college, then why should anyone else take it seriously?

Cramming for a test is not exactly climbing Mount Kilamanjaro. It’s a pain in the ass, but it can be done. It’s done every single day.

To just blow off that basic homework? I don’t get it.

Yeah, neither do I. But I’m not jumping from Cain to Newt just yet, especially considering his past. And I’m not talking about the social issues, like his divorces. I’m talking about his party first issues.

Dede Scozzafava ring a bell?

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